PeterCharn wrote:Are there any movies (In addition to HP 7 pt. 1 and Tron) that could pose a serious threat to VDT's boxoffice run?
Well, not like I am trying to sound like a box office expert or anything, but here is what I think.
Harry Potter will not be a threat at all, because it opens three weeks before VDT, and will have almost died down by then, or at least won't be bringing in huge bucks like it would the weeks before.
Tangled won't have to be worried about that much because it is opening two weeks before Narnia, and the novelty of the film will also wear off by the time VDT opens.
The Tourist is a film that stars Jolie and Depp, so it could be a blockbuster, but it targets a completely different demographic than VDT. It opens on the same week as VDT, which worries me a little. So, it may steal a little of the press of VDT, but it probably won't affect who sees it that much.
As you said, Tron worries us. I don't think that it will be a huge hit, as it is a sequel to a 30-year-old movie most teens my age have never heard of. However, some people think that it is the biggest movie of the Christmas season, and it will steal some of VDT's 3D screens.
Yogi Bear looks AWFUL, but so did Alvin and the Chipmunks. It is in 3D, so it will also steal some of VDT's screens, if not much else.
The only other one is Gulliver's Travels, which also looks AWFUL. I don't think that it'll interfere, and if it does, Fox isn't very smart, as they are both by them.
I would expect VDT to open to about $50-65 M, and finish off with about $215 M. That would be enough for SC to be made.